21st Century Economics

Things to move into this area:

1.  Chaos, fractals, reflexivity. Cycles and markets

  • “Markets” are systems with feedback loops. “Market psychology” is mostly about them.
  • Science largely ignored reflexive systems for a long time (Bill Bryson writes of how scientists ignored dinosaur bones for a long time).

2.  The importance of good referees. Without them markets don’t work.

  • The question is not how much regulation, but good vs. bad regulation.
  • A comparison to sports leagues makes this incredibly obvious.

3.  It’s 1890 again: the disruptive affect of technology on labor markets. Including deflation.

  • 1914 vs. 2014: How labor disruption will play out differently this cycle.
  • Deflation and inflation and why they matter.
  • Value and its creation: sources of growth and wealth.
  • Why agricultural revolution must precede industrial revolution, but not necessarily information revolution?

4. The dis-articulated economy (related to 3 above but worth its own topic, especially W. Arthur Lewis).

  • The modern “two-speed” economy
  • Dis-articulation in the American South, and the urban North.
  • “North” and “South” in the global economy.

5. The Information Revolution: from illuminated manuscripts to algorithms.

6. Einstein, Hume, and Pfeffer. Empiricism and descriptive vs. normative.

  • Empiricism as a cure for cognitive and emotional bias
  • This links to turning towards what is.
  • Our discomfort with Pfeffer and Cialdini’s descriptive work on power and influence.